Monthly Archives: November 2011

If He Insults Catholics, Expect Him to Give a Speech at Bob Jones University

This was a pretty big story a little over ten years ago: In November, another right-wing wolf cloaked in family values sheepskin was unzipped to the American public. George Roche III resigned as president of conservative Hillsdale College in Michigan after … Continue reading

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What Enthusiasm Gap?

The WSJ’s Gerald Seib, citing the most recent WSJ/NBC poll, tells us that that Democrats face a possibly dire enthusiasm gap heading in to the 2012 election. Jamelle Bouie addresses Seib’s argument: For comparison’s sake, the 2010 congressional elections saw an enthusiasm … Continue reading

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Brownback Learned His Lesson: It’s Easier to Intimidate a Reporter than a High Schooler

Sam Brownback and his staff finally cried uncle: “My staff over-reacted to this tweet, and for that I apologize. Freedom of speech is among our most treasured freedoms. “I enjoyed speaking to the more than 100 students who participated in the Youth … Continue reading

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Why Are Congressional Democrats Retiring? Because They’re Old!

The big news from Washington this morning is that Barney Frank will not be running for reelection. The Washington Post’s Aaron Blake points out that Frank is the ninth Democrat to retire from the House of Representatives without any intention of … Continue reading

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Twitter & Sam Brownback’s Fearful Authoritarians

If you think state government should bully high schoolers for exercising their right to free speech, that it has a right to poke through the medical records of women who’ve had abortions, that there shouldn’t be a separation between church … Continue reading

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Republican Voters Don’t Like What They’re Being Offered

Check out this CNN poll from April: Add up the totals for the candidates who quit or never got in the race–Huckabee, Trump Palin, Daniels and Pawlenty–and you get 55%. Since then Perry, Cain and Huntsman have joined the race. … Continue reading

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Colorado vs Ohio: False Choice

For months political scientist and former Clinton official William Galston has been pushing the weird idea that the Obama campaign must choose between a strategy designed to win Ohio or a strategy designed to win Colorado. Nate Silver picked that … Continue reading

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Heitkamp Could Help Democrats Hold Senate and May Help Obama Win North Dakota

Democrat Heidi Heitkamp is running for Senate in North Dakota. That may not sound like a big deal, but it is. Holding the seat of retiring Democrat Kent Conrad’s is crucial to maintaining or expending the current Democratic majority in … Continue reading

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GOP Nomination Race: From Sequential State Campaigns to an Unfolding National Running Tally

From Twitter: That tweet expresses the conventional wisdom of smart political analysts and has held true since the advent of the modern presidential primary system in 1972. How Joe Lieberman polled nationally in July 2003 was meaningless compared to what … Continue reading

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Pundits Can’t Lay Off Claim That Unemployment Will Doom Obama

The unemployment rate is not correlated with the results of presidential elections. Since FDR, in years where a sitting president was on the ballot and the yearly unemployment rate was 7.5% or higher, the incumbents–all Republicans–lost by 6 points (George … Continue reading

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