Obama and White Catholics: Why Let Data Interfere With a Good Story?

Politico, from an article arguing that Paul Ryan could help Mitt Romney win over Catholic voters:

The administration still has some work to do to win over white Catholics nationally, though. While a Pew Research Center poll published last week showed Obama leading 51 percent to 42 percent among Catholics, that figure was inflated by Obama’s wide percentage among Latino Catholics in noncompetitive states. Among white Catholics, many of whom are clustered in the Rust Belt, Romney led Obama 49 percent to 44 percent.

Yeah, wow, that five point deficit shows that Obama has a lot of work to do with white Catholics to get back to his 2008 performance among white Catholics…whom he lost by five points:

Obama, who is polling three points behind his 2008 performance among white Catholics, is five points behind Romney among white Catholics, which is the same margin by which Obama lost white Catholics to McCain, who ran three points better than Romney is currently polling. But we’re told Obama has a lot of work to do among white Catholics.

If Obama doesn’t do anything to cut that five point gap among white Catholics, he may have to settle for beating Romney by the same margin by which he beat McCain.

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